SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Portimonense |
63.59% ( 3.49) | 20.29% ( -1.12) | 16.11% ( -2.38) |
| Both teams to score 53.13% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.86% ( 0.88) | 42.13% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.46% ( 0.87) | 64.54% ( -0.87) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.4% ( 1.3) | 12.59% ( -1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.32% ( 2.64) | 38.68% ( -2.64) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.78% ( -2.28) | 39.22% ( 2.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.07% ( -2.2) | 75.92% ( 2.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Portimonense |
| 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.6) 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.75)3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.31)4-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.55)4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.29)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.4% Total : 63.59% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.29% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.54)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.27)Other @ 2% Total : 16.11% |
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