SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
36.45% ( -0.36) | 24.91% ( 0.17) | 38.64% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.06% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% ( -0.82) | 45.26% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( -0.8) | 67.6% ( 0.8) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( -0.57) | 24.38% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.21% ( -0.81) | 58.79% ( 0.81) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( -0.27) | 23.22% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% ( -0.4) | 57.12% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.45% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.64% |
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