SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Marseille |
40.25% ( -0.02) | 27.39% ( 0.15) | 32.36% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.63% ( -0.61) | 56.37% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.61% ( -0.5) | 77.39% ( 0.49) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( -0.3) | 27.44% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.08% ( -0.39) | 62.92% ( 0.39) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% ( -0.4) | 32.31% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.18% ( -0.46) | 68.82% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.35% |
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