SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.35%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 21.52% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester City |
21.52% ( -0.29) | 19.14% ( -0.1) | 59.35% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 68.13% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.57% ( 0.13) | 27.43% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.97% ( 0.16) | 48.03% ( -0.16) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% ( -0.15) | 24.89% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.5% ( -0.21) | 59.5% ( 0.21) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% ( 0.13) | 9.29% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.63% ( 0.3) | 31.37% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 21.52% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 19.14% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.19% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 5% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.27% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 4.3% Total : 59.35% |
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