Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Exeter City in this match.
-0.03) 
0.04) 
