SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Madrid |
19.26% ( 0.73) | 22.63% ( 0.33) | 58.11% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.69% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.84% ( -0.34) | 47.16% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.61% ( -0.32) | 69.39% ( 0.32) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% ( 0.61) | 38.51% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.74% ( 0.58) | 75.26% ( -0.58) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.07% ( -0.48) | 15.93% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.81% ( -0.88) | 45.19% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.26% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.62% | 0-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.35% ( -0.19)1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.34% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.24% Total : 58.1% |
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