SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Alcorcon |
46.37% ( -0.78) | 27.91% ( 0.25) | 25.72% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 44.24% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.13% ( -0.51) | 60.87% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.1% ( -0.38) | 80.9% ( 0.38) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0.62) | 26.32% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% ( -0.83) | 61.45% ( 0.84) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.04% ( 0.19) | 39.96% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.39% ( 0.18) | 76.61% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.95% Total : 46.36% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.72% |
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