SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 49.79%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Castellon win it was 1-0 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Castellon | Draw | Real Oviedo |
23.24% ( -0.86) | 26.97% ( 0.01) | 49.79% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.64% ( -0.68) | 59.36% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.25% ( -0.52) | 79.75% ( 0.52) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.59% ( -1.2) | 41.4% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.08% ( -1.08) | 77.91% ( 1.08) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( 0.09) | 23.99% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( 0.13) | 58.24% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Castellon | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.19% Total : 23.24% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 14.18% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 10.12% ( 0.31)1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 49.79% |
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