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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
69.03% ( 0.61) | 17% ( -0.16) | 13.96% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 59.9% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.13% ( -0.24) | 30.87% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.77% ( -0.29) | 52.23% ( 0.3) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.88% ( 0.07) | 8.11% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.5% ( 0.16) | 28.5% ( -0.16) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( -0.75) | 34.81% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( -0.8) | 71.54% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.17)1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.84% Total : 69.03% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.27% Total : 17% | 1-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.32% Total : 13.96% |
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