SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Largo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Liverpool |
41.14% ( -0.91) | 26.95% ( -0.1) | 31.91% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.33% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.23% ( 0.7) | 54.77% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.92% ( 0.57) | 76.08% ( -0.57) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( -0.16) | 26.2% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.7% ( -0.21) | 61.3% ( 0.22) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( 1.07) | 31.8% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.77% ( 1.21) | 68.23% ( -1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.14% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.91% |
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