Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.17%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (12.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cerro | Draw | Cerro Largo |
36.36% ( 0.27) | 30.22% ( 0.11) | 33.42% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 41.49% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.17% ( -0.37) | 65.84% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.53% ( -0.26) | 84.47% ( 0.25) |
Cerro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.43% ( -0.02) | 34.57% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.71% ( -0.02) | 71.29% ( 0.02) |
Cerro Largo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.41% ( -0.48) | 36.59% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.63% ( -0.48) | 73.38% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Cerro | Draw | Cerro Largo |
1-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 36.35% | 1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.21% | 0-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 33.42% |
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