SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | La Luz |
36.78% ( -0.07) | 28.61% ( -0.13) | 34.61% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 45.97% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.52% ( 0.47) | 60.48% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.4% ( 0.36) | 80.6% ( -0.35) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( 0.2) | 31.5% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.12% ( 0.23) | 67.88% ( -0.23) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( 0.38) | 32.9% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( 0.42) | 69.47% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.6% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.61% |
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