SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 46.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Danubio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Cerro |
46.18% ( 0.12) | 28.89% ( -0.02) | 24.93% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 41.24% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.64% ( 0.01) | 64.36% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.56% ( 0.01) | 83.44% ( -0) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% ( 0.07) | 28.06% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.28% ( 0.08) | 63.72% ( -0.08) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.32% ( -0.09) | 42.68% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.98% ( -0.07) | 79.02% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 15.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 46.17% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.97% 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.88% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.08% Total : 24.92% |
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