SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Mechelen |
39.66% ( 0.37) | 24.57% ( -0.05) | 35.77% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( 0.19) | 43.74% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.87% ( 0.18) | 66.12% ( -0.19) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% ( 0.27) | 22.03% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.64% ( 0.4) | 55.36% ( -0.41) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( -0.1) | 24.06% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.67% ( -0.13) | 58.33% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.66% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 35.77% |
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