Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
