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Women's Super League | Gameweek 1
Sep 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Rytting-Kaneryd (36')
Hamano (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 0-6 Chelsea
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Man City
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 2-0 Aston Villa Women

Villa have made an effort to strengthen their side over the summer and their new-look squad could offer Chelsea a tough test, but we still believe that the Blues will have the extra quality required to claim maximum points in Bompastor's first competitive game in charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 67.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawAston Villa Women
67.37% (-0.834 -0.83) 17.72% (0.252 0.25) 14.91% (0.586 0.59)
Both teams to score 59.7% (0.635 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.73% (0.088999999999999 0.09)32.26% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.13% (0.101 0.1)53.87% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.16% (-0.161 -0.16)8.83% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.72% (-0.395 -0.39)30.27% (0.399 0.4)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (0.81100000000001 0.81)34.51% (-0.809 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.77% (0.851 0.85)71.23% (-0.848 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 67.37%
    Aston Villa Women 14.91%
    Draw 17.72%
Chelsea WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.26% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-1 @ 4.69% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.4% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-2 @ 4.11% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.49% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.27% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.14% (-0.093 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 0.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 67.37%
1-1 @ 7.87% (0.077000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.121 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 17.72%
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 3.24% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 14.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd 0-6 Chelsea
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 8-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, May 5 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-3 Chelsea
Wednesday, May 1 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Barcelona
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 0-1 Chelsea
Saturday, April 20 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Man City
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 4 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 West Ham
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 17 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Leicester
Saturday, March 30 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Arsenal
Sunday, March 24 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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