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Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
AU

Chicago Fire
0 - 0
Atlanta


Arigoni (75')
FT

Lennon (46'), Slisz (89'), Mosquera (90+7')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Atlanta United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-4 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawAtlanta United
42.44% (-1.25 -1.25) 23.62% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 33.94% (1.333 1.33)
Both teams to score 62.27% (0.78400000000001 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.42% (0.825 0.82)39.58% (-0.822 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.07% (0.854 0.85)61.93% (-0.85 -0.85)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)18.99% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (-0.323 -0.32)50.55% (0.328 0.33)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (1.149 1.15)23.13% (-1.147 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43% (1.653 1.65)57% (-1.65 -1.65)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 42.44%
    Atlanta United 33.94%
    Draw 23.62%
Chicago FireDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.115 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 42.44%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.177 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.135 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.21 0.21)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.155 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.139 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.12 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 33.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-4 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 Houston
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 3-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 31 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 4-3 Montreal
Saturday, March 16 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 3-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 31 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Atlanta
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Orlando City
Sunday, March 17 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer


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