SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 8.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.21%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.56%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Paraguay |
70.8% ( 0.12) | 20.85% ( -0.06) | 8.35% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 29.86% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.99% ( 0.04) | 61.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.99% ( 0.03) | 81% ( -0.03) |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( 0.06) | 16.45% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.86% ( 0.1) | 46.14% ( -0.1) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.74% ( -0.12) | 64.25% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.32% ( -0.06) | 92.67% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chile | Draw | Paraguay |
| 1-0 @ 19.07% 2-0 @ 17.21% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.58% 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 70.78% | 0-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.84% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 8.35% |
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