SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
48.95% ( -0.02) | 25.23% ( 0.01) | 25.81% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.98% ( -0.05) | 51.02% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% ( -0.04) | 72.88% ( 0.04) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% ( -0.03) | 20.86% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.45% ( -0.04) | 53.55% ( 0.04) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% ( -0.02) | 34.45% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% ( -0.02) | 71.16% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.95% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 25.81% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
