SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 11.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | St Louis City |
71.1% ( 0.51) | 17.02% ( -0.24) | 11.88% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.53% ( 0.4) | 36.47% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.39% ( 0.44) | 58.61% ( -0.44) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.91% ( 0.22) | 9.08% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.12% ( 0.53) | 30.87% ( -0.53) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.33% ( -0.18) | 41.67% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.85% ( -0.16) | 78.15% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 71.09% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.02% | 1-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.41% Total : 11.88% |
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