SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Como had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Fiorentina |
23.89% ( -0.5) | 24.77% ( -0.36) | 51.33% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 51.39% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% ( 0.99) | 50.72% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% ( 0.87) | 72.62% ( -0.87) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.04% ( 0.1) | 35.95% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.27% ( 0.1) | 72.73% ( -0.11) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( 0.74) | 19.75% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.2% ( 1.19) | 51.79% ( -1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.89% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.32% |
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