Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.05) 
