SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
50.76% ( 0.2) | 21.96% ( -0.06) | 27.28% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 64.4% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.89% ( 0.17) | 35.1% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.89% ( 0.19) | 57.1% ( -0.2) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.84% ( 0.13) | 14.16% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.16% ( 0.25) | 41.84% ( -0.25) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( -0.01) | 24.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.38% ( -0.01) | 59.62% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.76% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.54% Total : 27.28% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
