Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.
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