Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
-0) 
0.37) 
