With two of the Brasileiro's lowest-scoring teams going head to head, we are anticipating a nervy and cagey affair. However, we can also see the hosts just about edging out their visitors to claim maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Cuiaba	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
34.91% ( -1.2)	28.32% ( 0.25)	36.77% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 46.82% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.56% (

-0.96)

59.43% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.19% (

-0.75)

79.81% (

0.74)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83% (

-1.26)

32.16% (

1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.35% (

-1.45)

68.65% (

1.45)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03% (

0.11)

30.97% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.72% (

0.13)

67.28% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Cuiaba 34.91%

Athletico Paranaense 36.77%

Draw 28.31%

Cuiaba	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.91%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.31%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.77%