SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 40.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 29.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.23%) and 1-2 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
29.49% ( 0.04) | 29.93% ( -0.03) | 40.58% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.29% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.38% ( 0.09) | 65.62% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.68% ( 0.07) | 84.32% ( -0.06) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.55% ( 0.09) | 39.45% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.86% ( 0.08) | 76.14% ( -0.08) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( 0.04) | 31.8% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( 0.05) | 68.24% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 29.49% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.91% | 0-1 @ 14.37% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.14% 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 40.58% |
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