SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Fenix |
33.99% ( -0.02) | 29.34% ( 0.02) | 36.66% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 43.86% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.98% ( -0.05) | 63.01% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.52% ( -0.04) | 82.48% ( 0.04) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.35% ( -0.04) | 34.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.62% ( -0.04) | 71.38% ( 0.04) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( -0.03) | 32.87% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.55% ( -0.03) | 69.45% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 33.99% | 1-1 @ 13.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.34% | 0-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.66% |
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