SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Fenix |
46.01% ( -0.05) | 28.35% ( 0.12) | 25.64% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 43.09% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.69% ( -0.41) | 62.31% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.03% ( -0.3) | 81.96% ( 0.3) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( -0.22) | 27.17% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% ( -0.28) | 62.57% ( 0.28) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.16% ( -0.3) | 40.84% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.58% ( -0.27) | 77.41% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 14.45% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.77% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.27% Total : 25.64% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
