Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Fenix |
46.01% (![]() | 28.35% (![]() | 25.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.69% (![]() | 62.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.03% (![]() | 81.96% (![]() |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.83% (![]() | 27.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.43% (![]() | 62.57% (![]() |
Fenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.16% (![]() | 40.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.58% (![]() | 77.41% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Penarol | Draw | Fenix |
1-0 @ 14.45% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.42% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 1.77% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 12.94% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.09% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.78% ( ![]() Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 9.94% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 1.27% Total : 25.64% |
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