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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Nashville SC |
47.81% ( -0.02) | 24.42% ( 0.04) | 27.77% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.13% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.81% ( -0.21) | 46.19% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.51% ( -0.2) | 68.48% ( 0.19) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% ( -0.09) | 19.4% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.78% ( -0.15) | 51.22% ( 0.14) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( -0.13) | 30.36% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% ( -0.15) | 66.55% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.81% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 27.77% |
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