Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	Willem II
24.9% ( -0.16)	22.88% ( 0)	52.22% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 58.65% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.36% (

-0.16)

41.64% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.96% (

-0.16)

64.04% (

0.16)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83% (

-0.21)

30.17% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.67% (

-0.25)

66.32% (

0.25)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99% (

-0)

16.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.66% (

-0)

45.33% (

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 24.9%

Willem II 52.22%

Draw 22.88%

De Graafschap	Draw	Willem II
2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.9%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.88%	1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.22%