SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.62%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | San Lorenzo |
47.99% ( -0.33) | 30.22% ( -0.03) | 21.79% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 35.75% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.23% ( 0.29) | 69.76% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.92% ( 0.18) | 87.08% ( -0.18) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( -0.03) | 29.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% ( -0.03) | 65.89% ( 0.03) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.94% ( 0.57) | 49.06% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16% ( 0.4) | 84% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 17.7% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.21% Total : 47.99% | 0-0 @ 14.62% ( -0.15) 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.27% Total : 30.21% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.12% Total : 21.79% |
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