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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jun 16, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
1 - 1
Progreso

Duarte (73')
Barco (38'), Giampaoli (51'), Duarte (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lopez (44')
Colombino (6'), Lopez (69'), Poiso (80'), Canobbio (82'), Andrada (90'), Silva (90+2')
Silva (90+2'), Silva (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Progreso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maldonado 0-2 Defensor
Sunday, June 9 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 1-0 River Plate
Sunday, June 9 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawProgreso
45.07% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 26.13% (0.0020000000000024 0) 28.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.35% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)52.77% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.34% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7% (-0.012 -0.01)57.3% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.61% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 45.07%
    Progreso 28.8%
    Draw 26.13%
Defensor SportingDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.07%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.8%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Maldonado 0-2 Defensor
Sunday, June 9 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 3-0 Miramar Misiones
Sunday, June 2 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 3-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 26 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 1-4 Defensor
Sunday, May 12 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 0-2 Defensor
Sunday, May 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 1-0 River Plate
Sunday, June 9 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo
Tuesday, June 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Progreso
Friday, May 24 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 1-0 Progreso
Saturday, May 18 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 1-4 Defensor
Sunday, May 12 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 2-0 Progreso
Saturday, May 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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