SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.33%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (12.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro |
33.85% ( 0.09) | 29.72% ( -0.03) | 36.43% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.84% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.75% ( 0.12) | 64.25% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.64% ( 0.08) | 83.36% ( -0.08) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.58% ( 0.13) | 35.42% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.82% ( 0.13) | 72.18% ( -0.13) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( 0.02) | 33.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% ( 0.03) | 70.32% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.71% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.43% |
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