SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Djibouti win it was 1-0 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Djibouti | Draw | Ethiopia |
20.49% ( -2.33) | 23.83% ( 0.02) | 55.67% ( 2.3) |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( -3.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% ( -2.72) | 50.49% ( 2.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% ( -2.46) | 72.41% ( 2.46) |
| Djibouti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.88% ( -3.82) | 39.12% ( 3.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.16% ( -3.78) | 75.83% ( 3.77) |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.01% ( -0.16) | 17.98% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.16% ( -0.27) | 48.83% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djibouti | Draw | Ethiopia |
| 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.57)2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.38)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.22)Other @ 1.42% Total : 20.49% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.74)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.51)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 12.06% ( 1.21) 0-2 @ 10.35% ( 0.99)1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.31)0-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.66% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
