SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dordrecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | De Graafschap |
41.94% ( -1.46) | 23.52% ( 0.24) | 34.54% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 62.82% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.07% ( -0.83) | 38.93% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.75% ( -0.87) | 61.24% ( 0.87) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( -0.95) | 18.94% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.54% ( -1.61) | 50.45% ( 1.6) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 0.28) | 22.5% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.93% ( 0.41) | 56.06% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.45% Total : 41.94% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 34.54% |
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