SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shelbourne |
35.04% ( -0.01) | 26.52% ( 0.05) | 38.44% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.51% ( -0.2) | 52.49% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.84% ( -0.17) | 74.16% ( 0.17) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( -0.11) | 28.62% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( -0.13) | 64.43% ( 0.13) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( -0.12) | 26.62% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( -0.16) | 61.86% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.43% |
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