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Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 6pm UK
Boras Arena
ML

Elfsborg
0 - 1
Molde

Elfsborg win 4-2 on penalties

Ouma (15'), Zeneli (27'), Abdulai (27')
FT
(aet)
Berisha (62')
Stenevik (39'), Daehli (90'), Hagelskjaer (98'), Eriksen (100')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elfsborg 3-1 Goteborg
Sunday, August 25 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Molde 3-0 HamKam
Sunday, August 25 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We say: Elfsborg 2-1 Molde (Elfsborg win 3-1 on aggregate)

If Elfsborg can replicate their strong performance from the first leg, it is difficult to see how Molde can overcome their deficit. It would not be surprising if the hosts took an early lead and controlled large portions of the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Molde had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%).

Result
ElfsborgDrawMolde
51.86% (1.618 1.62) 22.96% (-0.339 -0.34) 25.18% (-1.278 -1.28)
Both teams to score 58.69% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27% (0.439 0.44)41.73% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87% (0.442 0.44)64.13% (-0.441 -0.44)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83% (0.744 0.74)16.17% (-0.744 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.37% (1.34 1.34)45.63% (-1.339 -1.34)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.751 -0.75)29.99% (0.752 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.914 -0.91)66.11% (0.914 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 51.86%
    Molde 25.18%
    Draw 22.96%
ElfsborgDrawMolde
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.05% (0.241 0.24)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.263 0.26)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.155 0.16)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.172 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.061 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 51.86%
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 25.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Elfsborg 3-1 Goteborg
Sunday, August 25 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Molde 0-1 Elfsborg
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Elfsborg
Sunday, August 18 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Rijeka
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-1 GAIS
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Rijeka 1-1 Elfsborg
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Molde 3-0 HamKam
Sunday, August 25 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 0-1 Elfsborg
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-0 Molde
Thursday, August 15 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-2 Molde
Sunday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Silkeborg 3-2 Molde
Thursday, August 1 at 6.15pm in Europa League


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