SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dumbarton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Dumbarton |
30.09% ( 0.05) | 24.71% ( 0.01) | 45.2% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.87% ( -0.03) | 46.13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.57% ( -0.03) | 68.43% ( 0.03) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% ( 0.02) | 28.68% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.5% ( 0.02) | 64.5% ( -0.02) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( -0.04) | 20.49% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% ( -0.06) | 52.97% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.09% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.2% |
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