SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 44%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Spartans |
28.31% ( -0.63) | 27.7% ( 0.05) | 44% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.17% ( -0.44) | 58.82% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.66% ( -0.34) | 79.33% ( 0.34) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% ( -0.74) | 36.63% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.58% ( -0.75) | 73.42% ( 0.75) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( 0.1) | 26.58% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% ( 0.13) | 61.8% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.85% Total : 28.31% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.99% Total : 44% |
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