SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
30.52% ( 0.49) | 23.44% ( -0.49) | 46.04% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.39% ( 2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.91% ( 2.56) | 40.08% ( -2.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.54% ( 2.6) | 62.45% ( -2.6) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( 1.58) | 25.39% ( -1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( 2.12) | 60.2% ( -2.13) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( 1.01) | 17.71% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.62% ( 1.72) | 48.37% ( -1.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.45)2-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.52% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.25)0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.55)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.68)0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.85% Total : 46.04% |
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