SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
44.37% ( -0.51) | 25.7% ( -0.01) | 29.92% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 53.34% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% ( 0.29) | 50.49% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% ( 0.26) | 72.41% ( -0.26) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( -0.12) | 22.69% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.66% ( -0.17) | 56.34% ( 0.17) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( 0.52) | 31.01% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% ( 0.61) | 67.31% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.36% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.93% |
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