SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
50.32% ( 1.35) | 24.68% ( -0.35) | 25% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 52.82% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% ( 0.66) | 49.4% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( 0.59) | 71.44% ( -0.59) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( 0.82) | 19.64% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.39% ( 1.32) | 51.61% ( -1.32) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( -0.47) | 34.27% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.03% ( -0.52) | 70.97% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.91% Total : 50.32% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.2% Total : 25% |
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