Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Farsley Celtic | Draw | Hereford United |
33.45% ( 0.91) | 25.79% ( -0.14) | 40.76% ( -0.77) |
Both teams to score 54.48% ( 0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.34% ( 0.8) | 49.66% ( -0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.33% ( 0.71) | 71.67% ( -0.71) |
Farsley Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( 0.97) | 28.23% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% ( 1.22) | 63.93% ( -1.22) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( -0.04) | 24.1% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% ( -0.05) | 58.39% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Farsley Celtic | Draw | Hereford United |
1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.76% |
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