Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.
-0.31) 
0.18) 
