Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 76.21%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 9.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.58%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
76.21% ( -1.41) | 14.39% ( 0.75) | 9.4% ( 0.66) |
Both teams to score 53.94% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.19% ( -1.67) | 30.81% ( 1.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.84% ( -2.02) | 52.16% ( 2.01) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.33% ( -0.62) | 6.67% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.27% ( -1.71) | 24.73% ( 1.71) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.79% ( 0.1) | 42.2% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.39% ( 0.08) | 78.61% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.44) 4-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.29) 5-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.19) 6-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.16) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.98% Total : 76.21% | 1-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 14.39% | 1-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.98% Total : 9.4% |
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