Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 40.84%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 29.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.33%) and 1-2 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
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