Thursday's game promises to be an intriguing one in the fight for guaranteed qualification for the Europa Conference League round of 16, and while they only managed to snatch a draw late on at home in the reverse fixture, Fiorentina boast more quality than their hosts and should have enough to get over the line and stay ahead of their hosts in Hungary.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
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