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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
43.12% ( -1.62) | 22.83% ( 0.09) | 34.04% ( 1.53) |
| Both teams to score 65.28% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.35% ( 0.1) | 35.65% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.29% ( 0.11) | 57.71% ( -0.11) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.88% ( -0.59) | 17.11% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.68% ( -1.05) | 47.32% ( 1.05) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( 0.87) | 21.24% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.85% ( 1.33) | 54.15% ( -1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 4% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.13)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.71% Total : 34.05% |
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