SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
51.74% ( 0.4) | 24.51% ( 0.08) | 23.75% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.21% ( -0.78) | 49.79% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( -0.7) | 71.79% ( 0.71) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.14) | 19.22% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.07% ( -0.24) | 50.92% ( 0.24) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.43% ( -0.86) | 35.57% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.66% ( -0.9) | 72.34% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.03% Total : 51.74% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.96% Total : 23.75% |
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